Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.563032 0.624016 0.689874 0.766449 0.853247 0.948815 1.062330
2025-08-17 0.454032 0.535542 0.630287 0.749249 0.895594 1.070984 1.298961
2025-08-24 0.403036 0.495668 0.608843 0.758695 0.953994 1.202796 1.548440
2025-08-31 0.360894 0.458520 0.582552 0.753874 0.987820 1.301190 1.761457
2025-09-07 0.331250 0.432707 0.566008 0.757024 1.028794 1.409494 1.997594
2025-09-14 0.302195 0.404109 0.541877 0.745608 1.045963 1.483542 2.190542
2025-09-21 0.279051 0.381080 0.522585 0.737918 1.065912 1.561476 2.396673
2025-09-28 0.253150 0.351817 0.491628 0.709583 1.050926 1.583054 2.513396
2025-10-05 0.242760 0.343834 0.490436 0.725103 1.104067 1.715811 2.830539
2025-10-12 0.232523 0.335123 0.487177 0.736629 1.151228 1.842965 3.154452
2025-10-19 0.221761 0.324723 0.480342 0.741485 1.187251 1.954328 3.464292
2025-10-26 0.211404 0.314141 0.472287 0.743353 1.217844 2.058707 3.774758
2025-11-02 0.202680 0.305708 0.467282 0.750305 1.258767 2.187842 4.157380
2025-11-09 0.189817 0.289876 0.449248 0.733539 1.255594 2.234658 4.379063
2025-11-16 0.183152 0.283592 0.446372 0.742751 1.300685 2.378601 4.830179
2025-11-23 0.174486 0.273437 0.436249 0.738049 1.318766 2.470726 5.180896
2025-11-30 0.167895 0.266310 0.430732 0.741121 1.351877 2.596827 5.630720
2025-12-07 0.159442 0.255521 0.418148 0.729987 1.355562 2.661234 5.942989
2025-12-14 0.152209 0.246415 0.407935 0.722486 1.365763 2.740599 6.305988
2025-12-21 0.142403 0.232325 0.388020 0.694846 1.331684 2.717969 6.401883
2025-12-28 0.139621 0.230420 0.389952 0.709986 1.389227 2.909577 7.103610
2026-01-04 0.136423 0.227580 0.389961 0.721229 1.439384 3.090277 7.812162
2026-01-11 0.132518 0.223243 0.386902 0.725966 1.475549 3.241939 8.468743